I promise a real post, eventually. But in the mean time, a quote that I love about bad science (bad statistics, really):
Many of us have been taught that it is technically improper
and perhaps even immoral to analyze and reanalyze
our data in many ways (i.e., to snoop around in the
data). We were taught to test the prediction with one
particular preplanned test and take a result significant at
the .05 level as our reward for a life well-lived. Should the
result not be significant at the .05 level, we were taught,
we should bite our lips bravely, take our medicine, and
definitely not look further at our data. Such a further look
might turn up results significant at the .05 level, results to
which we were not entitled. All this makes for a lovely
morality play, and it reminds us of Robert Frost’s poem
about losing forever the road not taken, but it makes for
bad science and for bad ethics.
- Rosenthal, 1994 in Science and Ethics in Conducting, Analyzing, and Reporting Psychological Research
My thoughts exactly. We spend so much time pretending like statistics are black and white, i.e, if you have this data, then you run this test, and you get this result, and you make this conclusion. But that’s not the way it should work. I get so irritated when people deify statistics as if they hold all of this magical power. I mean, I love stats as much (probably much more, actually) as the next person, but I love them because they are a tool that could potentially lead to practical results, not because they are the practical results themselves (which they’re not). I mean, seriously, is a p-value of .05 really that different from .06? What is it that makes you celebrate your results if you have 95% confidence in them, as opposed to 94%?




then again i’ve seen too many papers that state “approaching significance” at .07 or whatever, and that always makes me want to puke. nontheless, it is always good to take that step back and say “so what?” with your data. what construct are you truly measuring and what are the implications of significant findings?
By: Ben on September 25, 2008
at 7:28 pm